Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000142 0.000158 0.000176 0.000196 0.000219 0.000244 0.000272
2025-08-17 0.000118 0.000140 0.000165 0.000196 0.000233 0.000275 0.000327
2025-08-24 0.000099 0.000124 0.000154 0.000193 0.000241 0.000300 0.000376
2025-08-31 0.000085 0.000112 0.000146 0.000192 0.000251 0.000326 0.000429
2025-09-07 0.000075 0.000103 0.000140 0.000191 0.000261 0.000354 0.000485
2025-09-14 0.000067 0.000095 0.000133 0.000189 0.000269 0.000377 0.000538
2025-09-21 0.000061 0.000090 0.000130 0.000192 0.000282 0.000409 0.000604
2025-09-28 0.000055 0.000085 0.000127 0.000193 0.000292 0.000438 0.000669
2025-10-05 0.000050 0.000079 0.000122 0.000191 0.000299 0.000462 0.000726
2025-10-12 0.000047 0.000077 0.000122 0.000196 0.000315 0.000499 0.000807
2025-10-19 0.000044 0.000073 0.000118 0.000196 0.000324 0.000527 0.000875
2025-10-26 0.000040 0.000069 0.000115 0.000196 0.000332 0.000554 0.000944
2025-11-02 0.000037 0.000065 0.000111 0.000194 0.000337 0.000577 0.001010
2025-11-09 0.000035 0.000062 0.000109 0.000195 0.000348 0.000610 0.001096
2025-11-16 0.000032 0.000058 0.000105 0.000192 0.000352 0.000632 0.001163
2025-11-23 0.000029 0.000056 0.000102 0.000192 0.000359 0.000659 0.001243
2025-11-30 0.000027 0.000053 0.000100 0.000192 0.000367 0.000689 0.001330
2025-12-07 0.000025 0.000050 0.000097 0.000190 0.000372 0.000713 0.001408
2025-12-14 0.000024 0.000049 0.000096 0.000192 0.000385 0.000754 0.001520
2025-12-21 0.000023 0.000047 0.000095 0.000193 0.000395 0.000790 0.001626
2025-12-28 0.000021 0.000045 0.000092 0.000192 0.000400 0.000816 0.001715
2026-01-04 0.000021 0.000044 0.000092 0.000196 0.000417 0.000867 0.001858
2026-01-11 0.000019 0.000043 0.000091 0.000197 0.000426 0.000902 0.001970